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8 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
On net, given the higher weighting of the months of Jul and Aug in quarterly consumer spendin…
78 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last weekly publication, 3Q GDP tracking moved up to 2.1% q/q saar from 1.7% & 2Q GDP is up two-tenths to 3.4%. [September 19th comment]From Goldman:
emphasis added
We left our …
85 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last weekly publication, 3Q GDP tracking is up a tenth to 1.7% q/q saar and 2Q GDP tracking is unchanged at 3.2%. Here are the details to our tracking changes. [September 12th c…
3 months ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
[O]ur 3Q GDP tracking has moved up a tenth to 1.6%. Also, our 2Q GDP tracking is down a tenth to 3.2% from the second estiamte of 2Q GDP by the BEA. [September 5th comment]F…
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
We lowered our Q3 GDP tracking estimate by 0.2pp to +1.6% (quarter-over-quarter annualized), reflecting the wider-than-expected goods trade deficit. Our Q3 domestic final sales estimate…
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
We boosted our Q3 GDP tracking estimate by 0.1pp to +1.5% (quarter-over-quarter annualized). Our Q3 domestic final sales estimate stands at +0.3%. We left our past-quarter GDP tracking …
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Next week, we will initiate our 3Q GDP tracker ... [August 8th comment]From Goldman:
emphasis added
[W]e boosted our Q3 GDP tracking estimate by 0.2pp to +1.2% (quarter-over-quarter annuali…
4 months ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
"The increase in the headline pr…
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q GDP tracking is down one-tenth to 2.2% q/q saar. [July 18th estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
June single-family housing starts were weaker tha…
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q GDP tracking is down two-tenths to 2.3% q/q saar. [July 11th estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
[W]e have lowered our Q2 GDP tracking estimate …