89 days ago

Recession Watch Metrics

found 2025 › Sep › 08 (Mon) @ 17:55 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Early in February, I expressed my "increasing concern" about the negative economic impact of "executive / fiscal policy errors", however, I concluded that post by noting that I was not currently on r…

4 months ago

Recession Watch Metrics

found 2025 › Aug › 06 (Wed) @ 18:50 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Early in February, I expressed my "increasing concern" about the negative economic impact of "executive / fiscal policy errors", however, I concluded that post by noting that I was not currently on r…

5 months ago

Update: The Art of the Soft Landing

found 2025 › Jun › 19 (Thu) @ 14:10 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

A year ago I wrote: The Art of the Soft Landing

A few excerpts and an updated graph ...

The "Art of the Soft Landing" requires that the Fed reduce rates quick enough to keep economic growth positive…

Recession Watch Metrics

found 2025 › Jun › 09 (Mon) @ 19:10 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Early in February, I expressed my "increasing concern" about the negative economic impact of "executive / fiscal policy errors", however, I concluded that post by noting that I was not currently on r…

7 months ago

Recession Watch Metrics

found 2025 › May › 05 (Mon) @ 18:50 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Early in February, I expressed my "increasing concern" about the negative economic impact of "executive / fiscal policy errors", however, I concluded that post by noting that I was not currently on r…

Recession Watch Metrics

found 2025 › Apr › 07 (Mon) @ 14:55 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Early in February, I expressed my "increasing concern" about the negative economic impact of "executive / fiscal policy errors", however, I concluded that post by noting that I was not currently on r…