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Fed Funds

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41 days ago

FOMC Preview: 25bps Rate Cut Expected ⊖

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Most analysts expect the FOMC to reduce the Fed Funds rate by 25bps at the meeting this week to a target range of 3-3/4 to 4 percent.    Market participants currently expect the FOMC to also cut rate…

83 days ago

FOMC Preview: 25bps Rate Cut Expected

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Most analysts expect the FOMC the reduce the Fed Funds rate by 25bps at the meeting this week, to a target range of 4 to 4 1/4 percent.    Market participants currently expect the FOMC to also cut ra…

4 months ago

Wednesday: Q2 GDP, FOMC Statement, Pending Home Sales, ADP Employment

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.

Wednesday:
• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purc…

FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Most analysts expect no change to FOMC policy at the meeting this week, keeping the target range at 4 1/4 to 4 1/2 percent.    Market participants currently expect the FOMC to cut the Fed Funds rate …

Schedule for Week of July 27, 2025

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

The key reports this week are the advance estimate of Q2 GDP and the July employment report.

Other key reports include May Case-Shiller house prices, July ISM manufacturing index and July vehicle sa…

5 months ago

Trump and Fed Policy

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Today President Trump put out a note urging Fed Chair Powell to lower rates.

The following image, courtesy of Conor Sen, shows the central bank rates around the world. Mr. Trump wrote:
Jerome, You …

Wednesday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, FOMC Statement

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.

Wednesday:
• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purc…

Schedule for Week of June 15, 2025

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

The key reports this week are May Retail Sales and Housing Starts.

For manufacturing, Industrial Production, and the NY and Philly Fed manufacturing surveys, will be released this week.

The FOMC me…

11 months ago

Ten Economic Questions for 2025

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Here is a review of the Ten Economic Questions for 2024.

Below are my ten questions for 2025 (I've been doing this online every year for 20 years!).  These are just questions; I'll follow up with so…

Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2024

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

At the end of each year, I post Ten Economic Questions for the following year (2024). I followed up with a brief post on each question. Here is review (we don't have all data yet, but enough).  I've…

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